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Reality check: Israel and Iran cry havoc

Events that have occurred over the past days have caused anxiety over a potential war between Israel and Iran. Israel has continued to strike Iranian positions in Syria, and Prime Minister Netanyahu’s supposed exposé on Iranian activities related to nuclear weapons development appear to be providing a casus belli for…

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After year of failure, coalition takes Midi

Last week, forces belonging to the Yemeni armed forces and the Saudi led coalition finally managed to enter the town of Midi near the Saudi border. On April 11, Yemeni forces claimed control officially, and so far Houthis have not managed to recover control over the town. While the town…

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Israel Continues to Target Iranian Presence at T4

During the morning hours of April 9, a number of explosions at the T4 military air base in Syria caused significant concern. The situation in Syria has been on edge since an alleged chemical weapons attack in the city of Douma by Syrian loyalists, though the events that took place…

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Houthi rebels sustain threat to commercial shipping

On April 3rd, Houthi rebels launched an unspecified missile in the direction of a Saudi oil tanker, identified as the super tanker Abqaiq carrying two million barrels of oil. The vessel was attacked in international waters near the port city of Al Hudaydah, but a Saudi naval vessel in the…

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Syrian offensive takes shape in Eastern Ghouta

For two weeks now, the Syrian army has been conducting an offensive against various rebel groups in the Eastern Ghouta pocket near Damascus. The operation, named Operation Damascus Steel, has already led to significant territorial gains on behalf of the Assad government. The territory that has been captured so far,…

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Putin’s Nuclear Arms: a Pyrrhic Victory

The statements made by Russian President Putin during his ‘state of the union’ have been a source of media attention to the nuclear developments he emphasised. While his speech contained a concentrated portion of declarations on newly developed nuclear weapon systems, Putin referred only to weapon systems that have been…

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Islamic State attempts a comeback in Aden

On February 24, militants of the Islamic State claimed their first terrorist attack within the city of Aden since the end of November 2017. Since then, the terrorist group hadn’t conducted any attacks in the city, but this latest attack indicates a continued ambition to mount notable attacks in Aden.…

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Russian Su-57 ups the ante in Syria

On February 21, the Russian air force has allegedly deployed at least two Su-57 multirole fighter aircraft to the Khmeimim airbase in Syria. This is the first time aircraft of this type were observed in Syria, or as part of any active deployment for that matter. The Su-57, also known…

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Yemen: War Amongst Divided Alliances

The current conflict in Yemen has stagnated over the past two years. Even though gains have been made on the ground, no decisive ground movements towards the capital Sanaa, or towards breaking the back of the Houthi militancy have materialized. A perpetual air campaign has been striking Houthi rebels and…

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Operation Olive Branch: Slow Progress for Turkey

Following a pause in the fighting in Syria’s Affrin region due to bad weather conditions, Turkish forces and their allies have continued offensive operations. So far, only limited areas of Affrin have come under their control. Turkey appears to be limiting its direct involvement on the ground, and while heavy…

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Somalia in Transition: winning back Mogadishu

Efforts to defeat al Shabaab in Mogadishu and Somalia The conflict in Somalia is currently going through an important evolution. As the African Union peacekeeping forces (AMISOM) initiate their withdrawal, and plan to complete this over the next several years, the strategic context of the conflict now revolves around the…

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